Portfolio Manager – Prediction Markets

This is a fully remote position, open to applicants in Mexico, +5 more countries.

📋 Description

• Take ownership of the prediction markets P&L.

• Develop strategy, manage risk limits, oversee position sizing, and ensure portfolio compliance with drawdown and exposure parameters for all traders.

• Spearhead idea generation, model validation, live execution, post-trade analysis, and cycles for systematic improvement.

• Build and lead a team of traders and analysts.

• Establish research priorities, rigorously review work, and foster talent development.

• Define and refine MCP's competitive advantage in market making, cross-platform arbitrage, event-driven momentum, statistical modeling on correlated contracts, and alternative data signal development.

• Collaborate with engineering to define and prioritize execution systems, data pipelines, monitoring tools, and low-latency order management infrastructure.

• Contribute to investor reporting and, when applicable, capital raising efforts.

• Effectively communicate the strategy's competitive edge, risk profile, and performance to institutional audiences.

⛳️ Requirements

• Extensive experience managing a live quantitative or event-driven trading portfolio with real P&L responsibility — not limited to advisory or model-development roles.

• Proven expertise in prediction markets, binary event trading, options, or closely related event-resolution fields.

• Strong quantitative background: probability, Bayesian inference, statistical modeling, and portfolio construction.

• Experience in managing or mentoring junior trading professionals.

• Significant, substantive engagement with the prediction markets ecosystem — platforms, mechanics, recent resolutions, and structural inefficiencies.

• Undergraduate or postgraduate degree in a quantitative discipline.

• Experience working on Polymarket, Kalshi, or similar platforms at a significant scale.

• Background in systematic commodity, macro, or multi-asset trading.

• Familiarity with analytics and data ecosystems related to professional sports and major real-world event categories (politics, macroeconomics, climate).

• Experience with blockchain/DeFi infrastructure pertinent to on-chain prediction market platforms.

• Prior participation in fund-level processes: investor relations, risk reporting, or strategy documentation.

🏝️ Benefits

• Competitive base salary.

• Significant performance-linked upside.

• Opportunity to participate in MCP's broader success.

• Compensation structure and amount discussed at the offer stage with the suitable candidate.