Prediction Markets Quant Trader

This is a fully remote position, open to applicants in Netherlands, +4 more countries.

📋 Description

• Create and refine high-frequency and systematic trading strategies for prediction and event markets, concentrating on political, macroeconomic, cryptocurrency, and sports-related contracts.

• Construct and enhance predictive models and signals for pricing, execution, hedging, and post-trade analysis of binary and categorical event contracts.

• Carry out and oversee arbitrage trades across various prediction-market venues and correlated instruments until settlement.

• Manage collateral and balances, internal transfers, withdrawals/deposits, and post-trade reconciliations to minimize errors.

• Take ownership of the prediction-markets trading pipeline, from tracking probabilities/odds and market-making strategies to monitoring and deployment.

• Enhance cross-venue hedging, correlated market flows, and settlement procedures across both regulated and offshore platforms.

• Examine market microstructure, order-book dynamics, and execution performance to enhance Sharpe ratios and reduce slippage.

• Assist in evolving asset-allocation strategies across more than 30 exchanges and prediction-market venues.

• Keep track of resolution criteria, event calendars, and platform rule specifics to identify mispricings and structural advantages.

⛳️ Requirements

• A minimum of 5 years of experience in high-frequency or proprietary trading (in crypto, prediction markets, sports betting, or traditional finance).

• Previous experience with prediction/event markets (such as Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, sportsbooks, or similar), or in a low-latency trading/execution setting.

• Practical experience in trading binary or categorical outcome contracts, options, or other probability-based financial instruments.

• Understanding of event market structure, resolution processes, and price discovery in relation to political, macroeconomic, cryptocurrency, and sports-related contracts.

• Strong background in hedging strategies, managing collateral and settlement flows, or optimizing asset rebalancing across multiple platforms.

• Profound knowledge of market microstructure and systems that leverage thin liquidity and event-driven order flow for competitive advantage.

• Excellent analytical skills for evaluating PnL, post-trade metrics, and optimizing Sharpe ratios, turnover, and drawdowns.

• Advanced skills in Python, applied statistics, and predictive/probabilistic modeling techniques (e.g., calibration, Bayesian updating).

• Familiarity with Rust is considered a notable asset.

• Capability to design and maintain a robust trading infrastructure, including real-time monitoring, execution diagnostics, dynamic parameter adjustment, and automated risk management controls.

🏝️ Benefits

• Profit shares directly tied to your performance and market outcomes — with significant upside potential.

• A budget dedicated to Learning & Development.

• Customizable benefits package — including free meals, Bolt taxi credits, sports, spa & wellness options, etc.

• Opportunities to engage in global crypto and prediction-market events.

• Flexible working hours.

• Casual dress code.

• A dynamic startup environment.