Senior Manager, Forecasting & Analytics

This is a fully remote position, open to applicants in California, +1 more state.

📋 Description

• Take ownership of the development and ongoing management of rolling revenue forecasts at the SKU/channel/geography level for Aura's product portfolio across all sales channels by leveraging SQL-based data, BI tools, and statistical analysis.

• Re-assess forecasts on a weekly basis (and daily during peak periods, promotional events, and product launches) using POS, sell-through, cross-channel marketing performance data, metrics, and inventory levels.

• Lead the demand planning operations at Aura, organizing and directing regular cross-functional planning meetings that align Sales, Marketing, Product, Operations, and Finance towards a cohesive demand and supply strategy.

• Collaborate with Sales, Marketing, and Product teams to review and validate sales forecasts, ensuring they align with product launches, promotional schedules, and market trends.

• Monitor forecast accuracy metrics (MAPE, bias, WAPE) at the SKU/channel/week level, establish internal accuracy targets, and continuously enhance forecasting methodologies to boost performance.

• Apply statistical forecasting techniques to produce baseline forecasts and pinpoint opportunities for model improvement.

• Advocate for process enhancements and automation to enhance efficiency in demand planning workflows.

• Create executive-level presentations detailing demand forecasts, variances, and recommendations while providing regular updates on demand planning to the CRO and Revenue Leadership team.

• Proactively identify risks of SKU/channel stockouts and overstock through weeks-of-supply analysis, recommending corrective measures before they impact availability or working capital.

⛳️ Requirements

• Bachelor's degree in Business, Supply Chain Management, Statistics, Economics, Data Science, or a related field.

• Over 7 years of experience in demand planning, forecasting, S&OP, or business analytics within consumer electronics or consumer goods.

• Proven track record of owning an end-to-end revenue forecast across multiple channels, with measurable improvements in forecast accuracy.

• Experience in international/multi-market demand planning.

• Expert-level proficiency in Excel or Google Sheets (advanced functions, pivot tables, data modeling, large dataset manipulation).

• Proficient in SQL — capable of querying source systems and BI tools (Metabase, Looker, Snowflake, BigQuery, or similar) independently of an analyst.

• Background in working with large datasets and translating data insights into actionable business strategies.

• Ability to collaborate effectively across departments and influence without direct authority, including presenting to executive leadership.

• Strong analytical mindset with a keen attention to detail and the capacity to balance data-driven insights with sound business judgment.

• Excellent communication skills with the ability to convey complex analyses clearly to both technical and non-technical audiences.

• Proactive problem-solver with a mindset focused on continuous improvement.

• Capability to excel in a fast-paced, entrepreneurial environment facing shifting priorities.

🏝️ Benefits

• Generous stock option program - starts vesting after 1 year.

• Comprehensive health plans - Aura covers 100% of the premium for employees and 50% for families.

• 401(k) with match - Aura fully matches the first 4% of your salary contributed.

• Lunch and snacks provided in SF & NY Offices.

• $150 monthly fitness allowance - for gym, coaching, etc.

• Flexible time off policy - with a requirement to take at least 10 days off each year.