Pharma Commercial Forecasting Expert – Launch Curves

This is a fully remote position, open to applicants in United States.

📋 Description

• Develop and assess objective, high-quality rubrics for the evaluation of commercial drugs and drug development initiatives.

• Construct, review, and rigorously test drug launch curves, which encompass uptake trajectories, market penetration, peak share, and time-to-peak assumptions.

• Analyze the realism of commercial forecasting assumptions and ensure they are backed by suitable evidence.

• Evaluate comparable products, launch trajectories, peak sales projections, competitive dynamics, and considerations regarding loss of exclusivity.

• Identify assumptions within commercial forecasts that are overly optimistic, conservative, or lack sufficient support.

• Leverage expertise in commercial forecasting across pharmaceutical launches and various therapeutic areas.

• Offer clear, evidence-based justifications for conclusions and recommendations.

• Complete a brief screening or technical assessment if required.

⛳️ Requirements

• A minimum of 5 years of professional experience in pharmaceutical commercial forecasting, analytics, commercial strategy, or a related field.

• Familiarity with working in pharmaceutical commercial organizations, including sales, forecasting, analytics, market strategy, or launch planning.

• Strong knowledge of biotech and pharmaceutical development processes.

• Practical experience in building, reviewing, or critiquing drug launch, uptake, or sales forecasting models.

• Understanding of market sizing, patient uptake, analog selection, market share, launch ramp, peak penetration, and loss of exclusivity.

• Excellent analytical and critical-thinking capabilities.

• Ability to differentiate defensible assumptions from unsupported estimates.

• Outstanding written communication skills, with a talent for clearly articulating commercial forecasting judgments.

• Experience in supporting pharmaceutical product launches or pre-launch commercial planning activities.

• Background in pharmaceutical sales, commercial analytics, forecasting, or business strategy.

• Experience in assessing competitive landscapes, market dynamics, and product positioning.

• Familiarity with forecasting methodologies, launch analogs, scenario analysis, and revenue modeling.

• H-1B and STEM OPT candidates cannot be supported for this position.

🏝️ Benefits

• Fully remote work setup.

• Flexible working hours, allowing you to complete tasks at your convenience.

• Potential for ongoing engagements based on performance and future project requirements.

• Opportunity to apply your expertise to the evaluation of advanced AI systems.

• Participation in intellectually stimulating projects.

• Weekly payments through Stripe or Wise based on services provided.

• Reasonable accommodations available upon request.